- The Texas Tech is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Baylor
- The Baylor vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Baylor Bears (2-4) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-1) on Oct. 19 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Baylor vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Baylor & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Baylor vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Baylor | +6.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +200 |
| Texas Tech | -6.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -250 |
Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Texas Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Baylor vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Baylor and all games with BetMGM
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today
- Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Josh Cameron has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Baylor is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -27.2% ROI
- Baylor is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Baylor is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.03% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 34.65% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Baylor is 2-13 (.133) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597
Baylor is 4-9 (.308) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Baylor is 2-14 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .528
Baylor is 4-13 (.235) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
Texas Tech is 9-2 (.818) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598
Texas Tech is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Texas Tech is 11-7 (.611) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s TEs has 24 receptions in 6 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 13.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,741 passing yards in 6 games (290.2 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 176.8 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 24 receptions in 6 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 186 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.1% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s TEs has gained 199 yards on 18 receptions (11.1 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s TEs has gained 199 yards on 18 receptions (11.1 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 186 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.1% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s TEs has gained 199 yards on 18 receptions (11.1 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s TEs has gained 199 yards on 18 receptions (11.1 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s TEs has gained 199 yards on 18 receptions (11.1 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.6 receptions (133 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s TEs has 24 receptions in 6 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 13.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,741 passing yards in 6 games (290.2 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 176.8 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 24 receptions in 6 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech have 290.2 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 176.8 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech has been targeted 233 times this season — 2nd-most among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed 1,061 receiving yards this season — 5th-fewest among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 15.1
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.9
Baylor has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Baylor has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed 63.5 receiving yards per game (381/6) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.3
Texas Tech opponents has averaged 6.2 Passing Attempts per TD (81 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 38.7 pass attempts (232 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (6/232) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Texas Tech opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Baylor and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
