- Iowa St. is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
- Cincinnati vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Cincinnati Bearcats (5-4) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Cincinnati vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Cincinnati vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +9.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +280 |
| Iowa State | -9.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -350 |
Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Iowa St., key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Iowa St. vs Cincinnati and all games with BetMGM
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+0.80 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Bets Today
- Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Benjamin Brahmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -10.26% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
- Cincinnati is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.12% ROI).
- Iowa State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.81% ROI
- Iowa State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Iowa State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Cincinnati is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .537
Cincinnati is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .457
Cincinnati is 7-10 (.412) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Cincinnati is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .471
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Iowa State is winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .353
Iowa State is winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Iowa State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .617
Iowa State is 10-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .671
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 287 attempts this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.2% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State has gained 2,443 yards on 177 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-5th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 507 yards on 44 receptions (11.5 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-5th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-5th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 507 yards on 44 receptions (11.5 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (308 yards / 33 touches) on 3rd down this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.6% of 302 attempts this season — T-5th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (152 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 287 attempts this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.2% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State has gained 2,443 yards on 177 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State has gained 2,443 yards on 177 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State has gained 2,443 yards on 177 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.5
Cincinnati has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 581 attempts (4%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%
Cincinnati allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 15 attempts (7%) last week– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 1%
Cincinnati has no interceptions (87 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 48.1
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (78 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.2
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (28 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (78 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Iowa State allowed 24.6 yards per completion (295 yards/12 completions) last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Iowa State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 24 attempts (8%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1%
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