- The Colorado St is a -7 point favorite vs. Air Force
- The Colorado State vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Colorado State Rams (3-3) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (1-5) on Oct. 19 in USAFA, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Colorado State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Colorado State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colorado State | -7 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -250 |
| Air Force | +7 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +200 |
Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Colorado State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- Colorado State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -13.25% ROI
- Colorado State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Colorado State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 0-6 against the spread this college football season (-6.55 Units / -100% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Air Force is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Air Force is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Colorado State is 5-1 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611
Colorado State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .285
Colorado State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .476
Colorado State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
Air Force is winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Air Force is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .388
Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Air Force is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .546
Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Air Force
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 529 passing yards in 6 games (just 88.2 YPG) this season — worst among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 271.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 172 attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,149 passing yards in 6 games (just 191.5 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 185.7 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has averaged just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 0.7 passing TDs per game this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 172 attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,149 passing yards in 6 games (just 191.5 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 185.7 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State TEs have been targeted 51 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado State TEs have been targeted 5.2 times per game (89/17) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6
Colorado State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 4.5 receptions per game (85/19) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Air Force WRs have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (1,426 yards/66 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 19.3 yards per reception (1,638 yards/85 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Air Force have completed passes for 20+ yards on 33 of their 180 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 20.6 yards per reception (577 yards/28 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Colorado State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Colorado State has averaged a sack every 44.2 pass attempts (221 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (423 completions/609 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (44 completions/63 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 66 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Air Force has allowed 112.5 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 174.1
Air Force has intercepted one of 143 attempts this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Air Force has allowed 112.5 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 168.3
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 18 attempts (22%) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
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