- The Army is a -15.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- The East Carolina vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The East Carolina Pirates (3-3) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (6-0) on Oct. 19 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Army is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The East Carolina vs. Army Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
East Carolina | +15.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +500 |
Army | -15.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -700 |
East Carolina vs Army Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 88.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs Army Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Army Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Army has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Army have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Army have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).
- East Carolina is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -44.23% ROI
- East Carolina is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- East Carolina is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Army is 6-0 against the spread this college football season (+6 Units / 90.23% ROI).
- Army is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 9.28% ROI
- Army is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Army is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Army
East Carolina is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
East Carolina is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .450
East Carolina is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
East Carolina is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Army: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Army is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Army is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586
Army is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .388
Army is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .613
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina WRs have averaged a touchdown every 29.2 receptions (234 Rec/8 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.0 receptions (330 Rec/15 TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (817 yards/92 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 34 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6
Army Offensive Stats & Trends
Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.5 receptions per game (27/6) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Army have completed passes for 20+ yards on 11 of their 45 total passing attempts (24%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Army Skill Players have averaged just 6.0 receptions per game (108/18) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Army Skill Players have been targeted 7.7 times per game (46/6) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.6
Army Skill Players have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (1,760 yards/108 catches) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 105 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 105 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 30 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 257 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 30 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 151 carries (75.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.9
Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 22 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1
Army’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– 3rd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 151 carries (75.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 24
Army has allowed 25.2 carries per game (151 carries / 6 games) this season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.8
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