East Carolina vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

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Army Black Knights head coach Jeff Monken converses with other coaches on his headset about the next play during an NCAA college football game against Air Force in Arlington, Texas, Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
(AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 1:49 PM
  • The Army is a -15.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
  • The East Carolina vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The East Carolina Pirates (3-3) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (6-0) on Oct. 19 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. Army Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+15.5 -11051.5 -110+500
Army -15.5 -11051.5 -110-700

East Carolina vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 88.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -44.23% ROI
  • East Carolina is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 6-0 against the spread this college football season (+6 Units / 90.23% ROI).

  • Army is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 9.28% ROI
  • Army is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Army is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Army

East Carolina is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

East Carolina is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .450

East Carolina is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

East Carolina is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Army: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Army is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

Army is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Army is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .388

Army is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .613

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina WRs have averaged a touchdown every 29.2 receptions (234 Rec/8 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

East Carolina Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.0 receptions (330 Rec/15 TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

East Carolina Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (817 yards/92 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 34 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.5 receptions per game (27/6) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Army have completed passes for 20+ yards on 11 of their 45 total passing attempts (24%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

Army Skill Players have averaged just 6.0 receptions per game (108/18) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Army Skill Players have been targeted 7.7 times per game (46/6) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.6

Army Skill Players have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (1,760 yards/108 catches) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 105 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 105 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 30 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 59 of 257 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 30 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 151 carries (75.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.9

Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 22 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1

Army’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– 3rd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 151 carries (75.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 24

Army has allowed 25.2 carries per game (151 carries / 6 games) this season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.