East Carolina vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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Tulsa head coach Kevin Wilson reacts during an NCAA college football game against Tulane in New Orleans, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 14, 2024, 4:17 PM
  • East Carolina is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • East Carolina vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The East Carolina Pirates (5-4) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-6) on Nov. 14 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on Tulsa vs East Carolina & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

East Carolina vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina-14.5 -11062.5 -115-650
Tulsa +14.5 -11062.5 -105+450

East Carolina vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Tulsa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 78.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best East Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -16.44% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.03% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -14.72% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -14.36% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -24.38% ROI
  • Tulsa is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405

East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .448

East Carolina is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

East Carolina is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .537

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Tulsa is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .438

Tulsa is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .421

Tulsa is 5-13 (.278) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Tulsa is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Tulsa

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 300 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 2,454 passing yards in 9 games (272.7 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 308.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,454 passing yards in 9 games (272.7 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 308.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– most among FBS Teams

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 300 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 2,454 passing yards in 9 games (272.7 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 308.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,454 passing yards in 9 games (272.7 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 308.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina have 272.7 receiving yards per game this season — 24th-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 308.6 receiving yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 220 carries (73.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 7th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Tulsa RBs have rushed for 11 TDs on 623 carries (56.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 6th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9

Tulsa Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (267 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Tulsa RBs have rushed for 7 TDs on 61 carries (8.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Tulsa QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 122 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 74 of 383 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) this season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 47 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (87 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

East Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 57% (172 completions/299 attempts) this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has allowed 28 TD passes this season– most in FBS

Tulsa has allowed 28 TD passes this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa has no interceptions (80 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.6

Tulsa has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Tulsa has no interceptions (80 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.