Florida International vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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Jacksonville State head coach Rich Rodriguez smiles after his team ties the game 14-14 during the first half of an NCAA college football game against South Carolina on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Columbia, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:17 PM
  • Jacksonville State is a -14 point favorite vs. Florida International
  • Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Florida International Panthers (3-6) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-3) on Nov. 16 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).

The Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on Jacksonville State vs Florida International & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida International+14 -11058.5 -110+425
Jacksonville State -14 -11058.5 -110-600

Florida International vs Jacksonville State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida International and Jacksonville State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida International vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Jacksonville State vs Florida International and all games with BetMGM


  • FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida International Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eric Rivers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kejon Owens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Lexington Joseph has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Florida International is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -26.46% ROI
  • Florida International is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Florida International is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville State is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).

  • Jacksonville State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 3.68% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.14% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -36.04% ROI

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Florida International is 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Florida International is 7-14 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Florida International is 4-8 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .537

Florida International is 5-14 (.263) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Jacksonville State is 10-4 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379

Jacksonville State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543

Jacksonville State is 12-4 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

Jacksonville State is 12-3 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .623

Matchup Notes for Florida International vs. Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State has gained 1,762 yards on 126 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 1,762 passing yards in 9 games (just 195.8 YPG) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 166.9 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s RBs has gained 143 yards on 9 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — 4th-best among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 6.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 251 attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.0% of attempts this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs has 18 receptions in 9 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs have just 13.1 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 13.1 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 251 attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.0% of attempts this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International’s RBs has 18 receptions in 9 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs have averaged 85.0 rushing yards per game (765/9) this season– 14th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 127.3

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State RBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Jacksonville State has gained 1,762 yards on 126 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (112 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

Jacksonville State QBs have averaged 106.9 rushing yards per game (962/9) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 28.1

Jacksonville State QBs have rushed for 445 yards on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International has not recorded a sack (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

Florida International has not recorded a sack (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida International opponents has averaged 43.7 Passing Attempts per TD (262 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 378 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 33 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 33 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 39 of 243 attempts (16%) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 39 of 243 attempts (16%) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (420 yards / 150 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.