Florida International vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Jacksonville State head coach Rich Rodriguez smiles after his team ties the game 14-14 during the first half of an NCAA college football game against South Carolina on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Columbia, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Jacksonville State is a -14 point favorite vs. Florida International
  • Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Florida International Panthers (3-6) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-3) on Nov. 16 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).

The Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Florida International vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida International+14 -11058.5 -110+425
Jacksonville State -14 -11058.5 -110-600

Florida International vs Jacksonville State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida International and Jacksonville State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida International vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida International Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eric Rivers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kejon Owens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Lexington Joseph has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Florida International is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -26.46% ROI
  • Florida International is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Florida International is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville State is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).

  • Jacksonville State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 3.68% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.14% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -36.04% ROI

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Florida International is 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Florida International is 7-14 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Florida International is 4-8 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .537

Florida International is 5-14 (.263) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Jacksonville State is 10-4 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379

Jacksonville State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543

Jacksonville State is 12-4 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588

Jacksonville State is 12-3 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .623

Matchup Notes for Florida International vs. Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State has gained 1,762 yards on 126 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 1,762 passing yards in 9 games (just 195.8 YPG) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 166.9 passing yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s RBs has gained 143 yards on 9 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — 4th-best among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 6.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 251 attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.0% of attempts this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs has 18 receptions in 9 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs have just 13.1 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 13.1 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 251 attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.0% of attempts this season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International’s RBs has 18 receptions in 9 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs have averaged 85.0 rushing yards per game (765/9) this season– 14th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 127.3

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State RBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Jacksonville State has gained 1,762 yards on 126 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (112 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

Jacksonville State QBs have averaged 106.9 rushing yards per game (962/9) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 28.1

Jacksonville State QBs have rushed for 445 yards on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International has not recorded a sack (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

Florida International has not recorded a sack (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida International opponents has averaged 43.7 Passing Attempts per TD (262 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4

Florida International has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 378 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 33 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 33 attempts (24%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 39 of 243 attempts (16%) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 39 of 243 attempts (16%) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (420 yards / 150 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8


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