- James Madison is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Georgia State
- Georgia State vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Georgia State Panthers (2-6) visit Showker Field at Bridgeforth Stadium to take on the James Madison Dukes (6-2) on Nov. 9 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Georgia State vs. James Madison Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Georgia State vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia State | +16.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | +550 |
| James Madison | -16.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | -800 |
Georgia State vs James Madison Prediction:
The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 88.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia State and James Madison, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia State vs James Madison Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on James Madison vs Georgia State and all games with BetMGM
Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
James Madison Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia State Player Prop Bets Today
- Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Dorian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ted Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for James Madison players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best James Madison Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Taylor Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alonza Barnett III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omarion Dollison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI).
- Georgia State is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -53.75% ROI
- Georgia State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
- Georgia State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- James Madison is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -5.3% ROI
- James Madison is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- James Madison is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Georgia State is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Georgia State is 6-12 (.333) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Georgia State is 1-12 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .456
Georgia State is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .538
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
James Madison is undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .486
James Madison is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .560
James Madison is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
James Madison is 11-2 (.846) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. James Madison
James Madison has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense has thrown for 5,528 passing yards in 21 games (263.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 251.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison has gained 5,512 yards on 428 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 671 attempts since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State RBs have been targeted 5.8 times per game (46/8) in the 2nd half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Georgia State RBs have been targeted 9.1 times per game (73/8) this season– T-2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 671 attempts since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense has thrown for 5,528 passing yards in 21 games (263.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 251.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (157 yards/7 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2
James Madison has gained 5,512 yards on 428 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s RBs has averaged 9.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (25 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 21 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Georgia State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 34 of 307 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (25 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 21 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 19 rushing attempts (37% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 19 rushing attempts (37% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
James Madison has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (16/8) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.85
James Madison has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (14 completions/39 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
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