- Arizona is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- Houston vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Houston Cougars (4-5) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-6) on Nov. 15 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EST.
Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Houston vs. Arizona Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
Bet now on Arizona vs Houston & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Houston vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Houston | +1.5 -115 | 45.5 -110 | -105 |
| Arizona | -1.5 -105 | 45.5 -110 | -115 |
Houston vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Houston vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Arizona vs Houston and all games with BetMGM
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Houston have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.75 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today
- Stephon Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Re’Shaun Sanford II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Montana Lemonious-Craig has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- Houston is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 60.09% ROI
- Houston is 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
- Houston is 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 1-8 against the spread this college football season (-7.9 Units / -78.61% ROI).
- Arizona is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -5.69% ROI
- Arizona is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Arizona is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Houston is winless (0-8) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Houston is winless (0-8) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .353
Houston is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450
Houston is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Arizona is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .489
Arizona is 9-1 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .670
Arizona is winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Arizona is 6-3 (.600) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Arizona
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 324 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 31 receptions in 9 games (3.4 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 324 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Houston’s TEs has 20 receptions in 9 games (just 2.2 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston has 135 receptions in 9 games (just 15.0 per game) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston has 135 receptions in 9 games (just 15.0 per game) this season — T-worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston Skill Players have averaged just 9.9 yards per reception (1,330 yards/135 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston TEs have averaged just 6.7 yards per reception (101 yards/15 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4
Houston WRs have averaged just 10.7 yards per reception (956 yards/89 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.6
Houston RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 183 carries (91.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1
Houston Skill Players have averaged just 147.8 receiving yards per game (1,330/9) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 235.5
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (440 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.0
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 324 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 31 receptions in 9 games (3.4 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 324 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona TEs have been targeted 5.0 times per game (35/7) in the 2nd half this season– highest among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.7
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Houston has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 23%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (3 completions/11 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Houston has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (27 completions/33 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (27 completions/33 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 63 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Arizona has allowed 24 TDs in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2.0
Arizona has allowed first downs on 11% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 22%
Bet now on Arizona vs Houston and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
