- The Oregon is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
- The Illinois vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Illinois Fighting Illini (6-1) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (7-0) on Oct. 26 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Illinois vs. Oregon Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +21.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | +1000 |
| Oregon | -21.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 | -2000 |
Illinois vs Oregon Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Oregon Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Tanner Arkin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 50.65% ROI).
- Illinois is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 6.36% ROI
- Illinois is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Illinois is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- Oregon is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 5.6% ROI
- Oregon is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Oregon is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Illinois is 11-1 (.917) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .756
Illinois is 12-4 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .587
Illinois is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .644
Illinois is 10-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Oregon is 16-1 (.941) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .611
Oregon is 10-2 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Oregon is 10-2 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .435
Oregon is undefeated (8-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .625
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Oregon
Oregon’s WRs has 356 receptions in 21 games (17.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon has 576 receptions in 21 games (27.4 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s WRs has gained 4,870 yards on 356 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 286 receptions in 19 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 286 receptions in 19 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 32nd-best among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,258 yards on 86 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois’s WRs has 286 receptions in 19 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has 286 receptions in 19 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 32nd-best among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,258 yards on 86 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 187 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,258 yards on 86 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (615 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Oregon TEs have no touchdowns on 39 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1
Oregon Skill Players have averaged 15.8 yards per reception (898 yards/57 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.6
Oregon Skill Players have caught 108 of 133 passes (81% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 61%
Oregon Skill Players have 83 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has forced 10 fumbles this season– most in the Big Ten
Illinois has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 25 of 235 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon opponents has averaged 50.5 Passing Attempts per TD (202 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.6
Oregon opponents has averaged 50.5 Passing Attempts per TD (202 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2
Oregon tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 44 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Oregon has allowed 4 touchdowns on 116 completions (29.0 Completions Per TD) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 13.1
Oregon tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 44 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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