- Indiana is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Michigan State
- Indiana vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: PEAC
The Indiana Hoosiers (8-0) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (4-4) on Nov. 2 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Indiana vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Indiana vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Indiana | -7.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -300 |
| Michigan State | +7.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +240 |
Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Michigan State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Indiana vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Montorie Foster Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nick Marsh has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 66.67% ROI).
- Indiana is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 7.4% ROI
- Indiana is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Indiana is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- Michigan State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 16.52% ROI
- Michigan State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Michigan State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Indiana is undefeated (5-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .625
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Indiana is 4-8 (.308) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
Michigan State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510
Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Michigan State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Michigan State is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .785
Matchup Notes for Indiana vs. Michigan State
Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 226 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s WRs has gained 1,297 yards on 89 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 226 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 2,296 passing yards in 8 games (287.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 186.2 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s WRs has gained 1,982 yards on 126 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 2,296 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 2,296 passing yards in 8 games (287.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 186.2 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana have rushed for 26 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Offenses
Indiana TEs have no receptions on 1 targets on 3rd down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 59%
Indiana’s WRs has gained 1,982 yards on 126 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 2,296 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 226 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s WRs has gained 1,297 yards on 89 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State WRs were targeted 5 times in close and late situations last week– most among Big Ten Teams
Michigan State RBs carried the ball 8 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 226 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 12 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 26 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Indiana has allowed first downs on 5% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 24%
Indiana has allowed first downs on 5% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23%
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 53 of 227 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 21 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.
Michigan State has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Michigan State has allowed first downs on 5% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 21%
Michigan State has allowed a Completion Pct of 59% (20 completions/34 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 5th-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Michigan State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 21 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
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