- Louisville is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Washington
- Louisville vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Louisville Cardinals (8-4) visit Sun Bowl to take on the Washington Huskies (6-6) on Dec. 31 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.
Louisville is a betting favorite in the Sun Bowl, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Louisville vs. Washington Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | -2.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -140 |
| Washington | +2.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +115 |
Louisville vs Washington Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 63.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisville vs Washington Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Louisville Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Washington Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Washington has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Washington have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Washington have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisville players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisville Player Prop Bets Today
- Chris Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isaac Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Chris Bell has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Washington Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Giles Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jonah Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Denzel Boston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonah Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- Louisville is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -10.41% ROI
- Louisville is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Louisville is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -12.45% ROI).
- Washington is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -5.45% ROI
- Washington is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Washington is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Washington
Louisville is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Louisville is 8-2 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .621
Louisville is 11-5 (.688) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Louisville is 18-6 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .605
Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville
Washington is undefeated (19-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .781
Washington is 18-3 (.857) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Washington is 18-3 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .637
Washington is 15-7 (.682) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Washington
Washington has 651 receptions in 27 games (24.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 401 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 3,269 passing yards in 12 games (272.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 166.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has averaged 13.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 401 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 3,269 passing yards in 12 games (272.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 166.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has averaged 13.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 4,771 yards on 334 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 401 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Washington Offensive Stats & Trends
Washington has 651 receptions in 27 games (24.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s TEs has gained 1,370 yards on 119 receptions (11.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s WRs has 446 receptions in 27 games (16.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (56 completions/121 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 56 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on 158 of 847 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (56 completions/121 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Louisville has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (11 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) in the Red Zone this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 9.6
Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Washington allowed 3,879 Passing Yards in the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Washington opponents has averaged 5.3 Passing Attempts per TD (111 Pass Attempts/21 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.8
Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (194 completions/352 attempts) this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%
Washington has averaged a sack every 22.2 pass attempts (931 Pass Attempts/42 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.8
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