- The Indiana is a -7 point favorite vs. Maryland
- The Maryland vs. Indiana Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Maryland Terrapins (3-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (4-0) on Sep. 28 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Maryland vs. Indiana Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | +7 -110 | 53.5 -115 | +225 |
| Indiana | -7 -110 | 53.5 -105 | -275 |
Maryland vs Indiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Indiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today
- Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donaven McCulley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
Maryland is 11-2 (.846) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .651
Maryland is 11-6 (.647) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .457
Maryland is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .507
Maryland is 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .547
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Indiana is winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Indiana is 1-5 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Indiana is 2-8 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Indiana
Indiana’s QBs has thrown for 1,153 passing yards in 4 games (288.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 1,153 passing yards in 4 games (288.2 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 1,153 yards on 77 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 14th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 928 yards on 78 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 1,235 passing yards in 4 games (308.8 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 124.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 928 yards on 78 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland’s WRs has gained 928 yards on 78 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 1,235 passing yards in 4 games (308.8 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 124.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 928 yards on 78 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 1,235 passing yards in 4 games (308.8 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 124.8 passing yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has gained 215 yards on 15 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana’s QBs has thrown for 1,153 passing yards in 4 games (288.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 1,153 passing yards in 4 games (288.2 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana RBs have rushed for 14 TDs this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Indiana has gained 1,153 yards on 77 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 14th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana has gained 1,153 yards on 77 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has allowed first downs on 25% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 46%
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (7 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Maryland has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 142 attempts (2%) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%
Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 1 of 6 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 87 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 1 of 6 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 87 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 115 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 17%.
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