Memphis vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

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UTSA head coach Jeff Traylor argues a call during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Texas State, Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in San Antonio. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:24 PM
  • Memphis is a -7.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
  • Memphis vs. UTSA Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Memphis Tigers (7-1) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (3-5) on Nov. 2 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Memphis vs. UTSA Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

Bet now on UTSA vs Memphis & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Memphis vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis-7.5 -11060.5 -110-300
UTSA +7.5 -11060.5 -110+240

Memphis vs UTSA Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and UTSA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Memphis vs UTSA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on UTSA vs Memphis and all games with BetMGM


  • Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today

  • Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • Memphis is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 5.38% ROI
  • Memphis is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • UTSA is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -15.25% ROI
  • UTSA is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • UTSA is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Memphis is 10-4 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386

Memphis is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .571

Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .541

Memphis is 15-1 (.938) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

UTSA is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

UTSA is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .598

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. UTSA

UTSA’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s RBs has rushed for 966 yards on 235 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC to RBs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 14.7 RAC this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 14.7 RAC this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis QBs have 27 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis TEs have 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 14.7 RAC this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA TEs were targeted 22 times last week– most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs have been targeted 11.4 times per game (91/8) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

UTSA TEs have been targeted 34 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs had 198 receiving yards last week– most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs were targeted 7 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis allowed 21.1 yards per completion (190 yards/9 completions) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 53 of 234 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis opponents has averaged 42.2 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7

Memphis has allowed 6 touchdowns on 147 completions (24.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

Memphis allowed 21.1 yards per completion (190 yards/9 completions) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 12.0

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 68 of 277 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

UTSA allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 45 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

UTSA forced 4 fumbles last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UTSA defense allowed 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.