- UTEP is a -3 point favorite vs. Middle Tenn State
- Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-6) visit Sun Bowl to take on the UTEP Miners (1-7) on Nov. 2 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
UTEP is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Middle Tennessee | +3 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +125 |
| UTEP | -3 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -150 |
Middle Tennessee vs UTEP Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UTEP will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and UTEP, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Middle Tennessee vs UTEP Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on UTEP vs Middle Tenn State and all games with BetMGM
Middle Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Middle Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Middle Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Holden Willis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Vattiato has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
- Omari Kelly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Nicholas Vattiato has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ezell Jolly has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Skyler Locklear has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kam Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trey Goodman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -54.95% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28% ROI).
- UTEP is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -65.95% ROI
- UTEP is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- UTEP is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Middle Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .468
Middle Tennessee is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Middle Tennessee is 1-9 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414
Middle Tennessee is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .484
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee
UTEP is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .374
UTEP is 4-12 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .624
UTEP is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .484
UTEP is 2-16 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP
UTEP’s RBs has gained 518 yards on 54 receptions (9.6 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs has gained 518 yards on 54 receptions (9.6 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 9.0 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs have 64.8 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 270.5 receiving yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s TEs have 79.4 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 633 yards on 154 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Holden Willis (MTS) has gained 600 yards on 39 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 7th-best of Qualified Tight Ends. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee TEs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee TEs had 91 receiving yards on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee TEs have 228 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Middle Tennessee TEs have been targeted 26 times on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP RBs have been targeted 10.2 times per game (82/8) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTEP RBs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP Skill Players have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (73 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
UTEP WRs have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP Skill Players averaged 18.5 yards per reception (999 yards/54 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Middle Tennessee has no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.6
Middle Tennessee allowed 438 rushing yards last week– most in FBS
Middle Tennessee has allowed 30 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2.0
Middle Tennessee has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 30 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
UTEP has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
UTEP has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UTEP has allowed first downs on 48% of pass attempts in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 30%
UTEP allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 24%
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