- Arizona St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
- Mississippi State vs. Arizona State Total(Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +6.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | +200 |
| Arizona State | -6.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | -250 |
Mississippi State vs Arizona State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Mississippi State vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Arizona St and key player performances this season.
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Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Mississippi State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.74% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Arizona State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Mississippi State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .452
Mississippi State is 3-8 (.250) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426
Mississippi State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Arizona State is winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Arizona State is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Arizona State is 1-16 (.053) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Arizona State is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .324
Matchup Notes for Mississippi State vs. Arizona State
Arizona State’s RBs averaged 5.2 targets per game last season — T-27th-highest among FBS RBs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State gained 2,215 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) last season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s RBs averaged 9.6 yards after the catch last season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.4 RAC last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s QBs threw for 2,182 passing yards in 12 games (just 181.8 YPG) last season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense allowed 258.6 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s offense threw for 2,182 passing yards in 12 games (just 181.8 YPG) last season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 258.6 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State had just 182.3 receiving yards per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense allowed 258.6 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State WRs have averaged just 11.4 yards per reception (5,351 yards/468 catches) since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.0
Mississippi State Skill Players have averaged just 10.0 yards per reception (6,452 yards/642 catches) since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.6
Mississippi State’s QBs threw for 2,182 passing yards in 12 games (just 181.8 YPG) last season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense allowed 258.6 passing yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State TEs have caught just 16 of 33 passes (48% Reception Pct) since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 67%
Mississippi State Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (2,700 yards/279 catches) on 1st down since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.8
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.2 receptions (323 Rec/16 TDs) since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.6
Mississippi State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Mississippi State has no interceptions (79 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4
Mississippi State has no interceptions (79 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.0
Mississippi State has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 9.6
Mississippi State has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State has allowed 4.1 touchdowns per interception (29 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
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