- East Carolina is a -2 point favorite vs. Navy
- Navy vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Navy Midshipmen (7-3) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Navy vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Navy vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | +2 -110 | 55.5 -105 | +105 |
| East Carolina | -2 -110 | 55.5 -115 | -125 |
Navy vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on East Carolina vs Navy and all games with BetMGM
Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Navy have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Bets Today
- Blake Horvath has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Tecza has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 16.13% ROI).
- Navy is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.3% ROI
- Navy is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Navy is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.65 Units / 21.99% ROI).
- East Carolina is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.32% ROI
- East Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI
- East Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Navy is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .546
Navy is 6-1 (.857) when not losing a fumble this season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .534
Navy is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Navy is 2-5 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
East Carolina is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
East Carolina is 3-9 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
East Carolina is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .470
East Carolina is 2-7 (.222) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .354
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 360 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s RBs have just 12.1 receiving yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s TEs has 8 receptions in 9 games (just 0.9 per game) this season — 5th-worst among FBS TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 1,245 passing yards in 10 games (just 124.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,232 passing yards in 10 games (just 123.2 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS teams. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.0 receptions per game (10/10) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.9 receptions per game (42/22) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy Skill Players have averaged just 6.5 receptions per game (144/22) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Navy WRs have averaged just 4.3 yards per reception (13 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Navy WRs have been targeted 33 times this season– fewest among FBS Teams
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 360 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 41 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
East Carolina Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (208 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 67 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (54 completions/83 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 114 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 106 of 797 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Navy has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 31 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.1
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 58 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 182 of 891 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 436 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 133 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (20/380) this season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
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