Nebraska vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Ohio State head coach Ryan Day observes Rutgers during warm up before a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • The Ohio State is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Nebraska
  • The Nebraska vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-2) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (5-1) on Oct. 26 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska+25.5 -11048.5 -110+1500
Ohio State -25.5 -11048.5 -110-5000

Nebraska vs Ohio State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Ohio State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Nebraska vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 86.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rahmir Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Emmett Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Janiran Bonner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Dylan Raiola has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.31% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Nebraska is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Ohio State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • Ohio State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Ohio State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Nebraska is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532

Nebraska is 10-2 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .639

Nebraska is 10-2 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685

Nebraska is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Ohio State is 10-2 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .435

Ohio State is winless (0-2) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Ohio State is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .629

Ohio State is 14-3 (.824) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 8.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State has gained 1,766 yards on 136 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska has 281 receptions in 19 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has gained 1,670 yards on 148 receptions (just 11.3 YPR) this season — 35th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 8.6 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State RBs have averaged 6.9 Yards per Carry (1,112 yards/162 carries) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ohio State has gained 1,766 yards on 136 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 589 attempts since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.8

Nebraska has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Nebraska has no interceptions (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.4

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on 112 of 596 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State has allowed 151.9 Passing Yards per game (2,887/19) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 221.2

Ohio State has allowed 10 rushing TDs on 644 carries (64.4 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.5

Ohio State has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (18 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 52%

Ohio State opponents has averaged 40.7 Passing Attempts per TD (529 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.9

Ohio State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 11 of 192 carries (6%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 13%


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