- The San Jose St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- The Nevada vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: truTV
The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-3) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (3-1) on Oct. 5 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
San Jose St is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Nevada vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
Bet now on San Jose St vs Nevada & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Nevada vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | +6.5 -110 | 51.5 -115 | +200 |
| San Jose State | -6.5 -110 | 51.5 -105 | -250 |
Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nevada vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on San Jose St vs Nevada and all games with BetMGM
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -12.35% ROI
- Nevada is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -41.28% ROI
- Nevada is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- San Jose State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 10.67% ROI
- San Jose State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- San Jose State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Nevada is 2-7 (.222) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .362
Nevada is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
San Jose State is 1-4 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .362
San Jose State is 8-6 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .441
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
San Jose State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .455
Matchup Notes for Nevada vs. San Jose State
San Jose State’s RBs has rushed for 2,435 yards on 394 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has rushed for 2,435 yards on 394 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.1 YPC since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs have 30.9 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 245.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 3,012 passing yards in 17 games (just 177.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada has 276 receptions in 17 games (just 16.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s offense has thrown for 3,030 passing yards in 17 games (just 178.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 3,012 passing yards in 17 games (just 177.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada has 276 receptions in 17 games (just 16.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s offense has thrown for 3,030 passing yards in 17 games (just 178.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 3,012 passing yards in 17 games (just 177.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (831 yards/114 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
San Jose State’s RBs has rushed for 2,435 yards on 394 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (993 yards / 127 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.9 Yards per Carry (552 yards/70 carries) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– 3rd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Nevada has not forced a fumble (154 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 41.5
Nevada has allowed 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (466 yards / 54 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
Nevada has not forced a fumble (154 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.6
Nevada has tackled opponents for a loss on just 73 of 577 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (8/4) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.74
San Jose State has not allowed a pass completion for 40+ yards (132 attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
San Jose State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 107 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
San Jose State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
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