- The New Mexico is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
- The New Mexico vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 78.5 points
- TV Channel: truTV
The New Mexico Lobos (2-4) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (1-5) on Oct. 19 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. Utah State Over/Under is 78.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | -1.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 | -120 |
| Utah State | +1.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 | +100 |
New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Utah State vs New Mexico and all games with BetMGM
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+7.95 Units / 92% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 26% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).
- New Mexico is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -19.8% ROI
- New Mexico is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Utah State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
New Mexico is 3-11 (.214) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .346
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
New Mexico is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
New Mexico is 3-9 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Utah State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .540
Utah State is 6-12 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Utah State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
Utah State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Utah State
Utah State’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 2.3 passing TDs per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
New Mexico QBs have 21 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico RBs have been targeted 8 times in the Red Zone this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State WRs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Utah State’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 2.3 passing TDs per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State WRs picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Utah State TEs were targeted 4 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– most among FBS Teams
Utah State RBs have no touchdowns on 48 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has one interception and 14 TD passes allowed this season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
New Mexico has one interception and 14 TD passes allowed this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
New Mexico has allowed 7.6 touchdowns per interception (38 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 24 of 475 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed 16 TD passes this season– T-3rd-most in FBS
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