Northwestern vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM

min read

Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins (34) gets set for a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Michigan State, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 26-16. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

The Iowa is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
The Northwestern vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats (3-4) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Northwestern vs. Iowa Over/Under is 37.5 total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Northwestern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Northwestern	+13.5 -105	37.5 -105	+450
Iowa	-13.5 -115	37.5 -115	-650

Northwestern vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 83.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northwestern vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Iowa vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Cade McNamara has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.75% ROI).

Northwestern is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.58% ROI
Northwestern is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Northwestern is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -20% ROI).

Iowa is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.37% ROI
Iowa is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Iowa is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Northwestern is undefeated (5-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .664

Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .641

Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .304

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .756

Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Iowa

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa WRs have caught just 113 of 256 passes (44% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.4

Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Northwestern has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 19 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.9

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.5

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.7

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28.3

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 29.8