Northwestern vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins (34) gets set for a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Michigan State, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 26-16. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:11 PM
  • The Iowa is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
  • The Northwestern vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats (3-4) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Northwestern vs. Iowa Over/Under is 37.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+13.5 -10537.5 -105+450
Iowa -13.5 -11537.5 -115-650

Northwestern vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 83.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northwestern vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

  • Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cade McNamara has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.75% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.58% ROI
  • Northwestern is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Northwestern is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -20% ROI).

  • Iowa is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.37% ROI
  • Iowa is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Iowa is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Northwestern is undefeated (5-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .664

Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .641

Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .304

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .756

Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Iowa

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa WRs have caught just 113 of 256 passes (44% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.4

Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Northwestern has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 19 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.9

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.5

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.7

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28.3

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 29.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.