- The Iowa is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- The Northwestern vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Northwestern Wildcats (3-4) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Northwestern vs. Iowa Over/Under is 37.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Northwestern | +13.5 -105 | 37.5 -105 | +450 |
Iowa | -13.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 | -650 |
Northwestern vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 83.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northwestern vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today
- Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.75% ROI).
- Northwestern is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.58% ROI
- Northwestern is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Northwestern is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -20% ROI).
- Iowa is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.37% ROI
- Iowa is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Iowa is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Northwestern is undefeated (5-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .664
Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .641
Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .304
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .756
Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Iowa
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 RAC since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa WRs have caught just 113 of 256 passes (44% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.4
Northwestern has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7
Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
Northwestern has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 19 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.9
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.5
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 213 carries (106.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28.3
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 711 carries (79 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 29.8
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