- The Notre Dame is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Navy
- The Notre Dame vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the Navy Midshipmen (6-0) on Oct. 26 in East Rutherford, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).
The Notre Dame vs. Navy Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | -12.5 -110 | 52.5 -115 | -500 |
| Navy | +12.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 | +375 |
Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs Navy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today
- Beaux Collins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -73.75 Units / -45.5% ROI
- Notre Dame is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Notre Dame is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).
- Navy is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 33.67% ROI
- Navy is 6-0 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Navy is 0-6 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Notre Dame is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
Notre Dame is 16-4 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661
Notre Dame is 15-2 (.882) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Notre Dame is 10-4 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .531
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Navy is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .255
Navy is undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480
Navy is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .520
Navy is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .676
Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. Navy
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,901 passing yards in 15 games (just 126.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 25.9% of 81 attempts this season — best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has averaged 15.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 195 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 3,053 yards on 213 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 542 attempts since the 2023 season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 195 attempts this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 0.7 receptions per game (4/6) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy WRs have averaged just 2.0 receptions per game (36/18) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Navy Skill Players have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (874 yards/44 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,901 passing yards in 15 games (just 126.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 160.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Navy have completed passes for 20+ yards on 21 of their 81 total passing attempts (26%) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame has allowed opponents to catch just 296 of 568 passes (52% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 41.1 Passing Attempts per TD (575 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Notre Dame has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 241 carries (80.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (296 completions/575 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has allowed one passing TD (20 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Navy has allowed one passing TD (20 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Navy’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 25% of PATs this season– T-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (4 completions/20 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Navy’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 25% of PATs this season– T-highest in FBS; Average: 7%
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