- Notre Dame is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Notre Dame vs. Purdue Total(Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-0) on Sep. 14 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Notre Dame vs. Purdue Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | -10.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -450 |
| Purdue | +10.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +325 |
Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 81.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in their last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Mitchell Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Steve Angeli has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 130% ROI
- Notre Dame is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Notre Dame is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Purdue is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Notre Dame is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .407
Notre Dame is 9-3 (.692) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .525
Notre Dame is 7-2 (.583) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Notre Dame is 9-1 (.818) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Purdue is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .327
Purdue is 4-6 (.364) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
Purdue is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .407
Purdue is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .508
Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. Purdue
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 7.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs has rushed for 242 yards on 39 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Purdue’s defense have allowed just 2.4 YPC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs has rushed for 242 yards on 39 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Purdue’s defense have allowed just 2.4 YPC this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs has rushed for 242 yards on 39 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Purdue’s defense have allowed just 2.0 YPC to RBs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
Notre Dame Skill Players have no touchdowns on 38 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.9
Notre Dame Skill Players have no touchdowns on 38 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Notre Dame TEs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Notre Dame WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.6
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (9/1) this season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue Skill Players have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (163 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.4
Purdue TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (9/1) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 46.8 Passing Attempts per TD (421 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.7
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (217 completions/421 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 7.6 Passing Attempts per TD (38 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Notre Dame has allowed just 156.2 receiving yards per game (2,343/15) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 219.4
Notre Dame has allowed 9 touchdowns on 217 completions (24.1 Completions Per TD) since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 12.5
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has sacked opposing QBs on 30% of pass attempts (3/10) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Purdue has sacked opposing QBs on 30% of pass attempts (3/10) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 54 of 378 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Purdue has sacked opposing QBs on 30% of pass attempts (3/10) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Purdue has allowed 14.3 yards per completion (2,948 yards/206 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9
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