- Ohio State is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Penn State
- Ohio State vs. Penn State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0) on Nov. 2 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Ohio State vs. Penn State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Ohio State vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ohio State | -3.5 -115 | 46.5 -115 | -185 |
| Penn State | +3.5 -105 | 46.5 -105 | +150 |
Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Penn State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ohio State vs Penn State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 0% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.40 Units / 96% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carnell Tate has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Harrison Wallace III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Ohio State is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 0.22% ROI
- Ohio State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Ohio State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Penn State is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.51% ROI
- Penn State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Penn State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Ohio State is 12-2 (.857) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Ohio State is 16-2 (.889) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .697
Ohio State is 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .600
Ohio State is 14-1 (.933) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .714
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Penn State is undefeated (13-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .674
Penn State is undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596
Penn State is 12-1 (.923) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Penn State is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .447
Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Penn State
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 189 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s QBs has thrown for 1,840 passing yards in 7 games (262.9 YPG) this season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 163.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has gained 1,008 yards on 59 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has gained 1,677 yards on 114 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has gained 213 yards on 18 receptions (11.8 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 1,987 yards on 149 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State’s WRs has gained 1,677 yards on 114 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has gained 213 yards on 18 receptions (11.8 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 1,987 yards on 149 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has gained 1,677 yards on 114 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 1,987 yards on 149 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 189 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Penn State’s QBs has thrown for 1,840 passing yards in 7 games (262.9 YPG) this season — 34th-best among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 163.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.1
Penn State’s WRs has gained 1,008 yards on 59 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents has averaged 43.2 Passing Attempts per TD (561 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.8
Ohio State has allowed 11 rushing TDs on 677 carries (61.5 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.9
Ohio State opponents has averaged 43.2 Passing Attempts per TD (561 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.5
Ohio State has allowed just 152.0 receiving yards per game (3,039/20) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 221.3
Ohio State has allowed 152.0 Passing Yards per game (3,039/20) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 218.9
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (64/553) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 154 of 639 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Penn State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
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