Oklahoma St vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

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Tulsa head coach Kevin Wilson reacts during an NCAA college football game against Tulane in New Orleans, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:23 AM
  • Oklahoma St is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Total(Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-0) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Oklahoma St is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State-20.5 -11062.5 -110-1400
Tulsa +20.5 -11062.5 -110+800

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Tulsa is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
  • Tulsa is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Oklahoma State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Oklahoma State is 9-1 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Oklahoma State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426

Oklahoma State is undefeated (3-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .585

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Tulsa is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Tulsa is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Tulsa is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Tulsa is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .394

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s RBs have just 9.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 340.0 receiving yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs have just 9.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 340.0 receiving yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has rushed for 378 yards on 61 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense have allowed 6.1 YPC to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.1% of 82 attempts this season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Alan Bowman (OKS) has averaged inf pass attempts per sack this season — T-best of Qualified Big 12 Quarterbacks. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 25.5 pass attempts per sack this season — 37th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 2.3 yards per reception (7 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.1% of 82 attempts this season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 2.3 yards per reception (7 yards/3 catches) in close and late situations since the 2022 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.5

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa QBs have 32 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2022 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa RBs have averaged 189.0 rushing yards per game (378/2) this season– T-24th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 135.6

Tulsa’s RBs have just 9.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 340.0 receiving yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs have just 9.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 340.0 receiving yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa WRs have been targeted 14 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State has allowed 77 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State defense has allowed 77 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 77 of 523 attempts (15%) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Oklahoma State has allowed 4,530 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 83 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.3

Tulsa has no interceptions (88 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Tulsa has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5

Tulsa has no interceptions (88 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Tulsa has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.