Old Dominion vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Georgia State running back Freddie Brock (25) runs with the ball against Utah State in the first half of the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl NCAA college football game, Saturday, Dec. 23, 2023, in Boise, Idaho. Georgia State won 45-22. (AP Photo/Steve Conner)
(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 2:09 PM
  • The Georgia State is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Old Dominion
  • The Old Dominion vs. Georgia State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Old Dominion Monarchs (1-4) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (2-2) on Oct. 12 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Georgia State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Old Dominion vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia State vs Old Dominion & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Old Dominion vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Old Dominion+1.5 -11054.5 -110+100
Georgia State -1.5 -11054.5 -110-120

Old Dominion vs Georgia State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Old Dominion and Georgia State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Old Dominion vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Georgia State vs Old Dominion and all games with BetMGM


  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 13% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Old Dominion players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Old Dominion Player Prop Bets Today

  • Grant Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Grant Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Isiah Paige has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Grant Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Cadarrius Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ahmon Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Tailique Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -76.47% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Georgia State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 4.11% ROI
  • Georgia State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Old Dominion is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422

Old Dominion is 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Old Dominion is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .544

Old Dominion is 7-11 (.389) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Georgia State is 1-8 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Georgia State is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Georgia State is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .544

Georgia State is 5-5 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383

Matchup Notes for Old Dominion vs. Georgia State

Georgia State’s WRs has 258 receptions in 17 games (15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State have 267.0 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 248.6 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s WRs has 258 receptions in 17 games (15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 283 receptions in 18 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 845 passing yards in 5 games (just 169.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.2 passing yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 3,366 passing yards in 18 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 272.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has 283 receptions in 18 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 845 passing yards in 5 games (just 169.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.2 passing yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 3,366 passing yards in 18 games (just 187.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 272.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 9.7 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 845 passing yards in 5 games (just 169.0 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.2 passing yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State’s WRs has 258 receptions in 17 games (15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State have 267.0 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 248.6 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 5.0 times per game (20/4) in the 2nd half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Georgia State’s WRs has 258 receptions in 17 games (15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion defense allowed 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most in FBS

Old Dominion allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Old Dominion allowed 14.1 Yards per Attempt (367 yards/26 attempts) last week– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.4

Old Dominion has allowed 20 rushing TDs on 141 carries (7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Old Dominion has forced 10 fumbles this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (22 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 9 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (22 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia State has allowed 272.5 Passing Yards per game (4,633/17) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.0

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (12 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.