- The Oregon is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- The Oregon vs. Purdue Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Oregon Ducks (6-0) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-5) on Oct. 18 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-110).
The Oregon vs. Purdue Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon | -27.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -10000 |
| Purdue | +27.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +1650 |
Oregon vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Purdue vs Oregon and all games with BetMGM
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI).
- Oregon is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 8.33% ROI
- Oregon is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Purdue is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Oregon is 8-1 (.889) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .451
Oregon is 15-2 (.882) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Oregon is 18-1 (.947) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .646
Oregon is 14-2 (.875) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Purdue is 5-9 (.357) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Purdue is 3-7 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Purdue is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504
Purdue is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Purdue
Purdue’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 30 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has gained 586 yards on 50 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 30 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s offense has thrown for 1,812 passing yards in 6 games (302.0 YPG) this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense has allowed 225.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has 37 receptions in 6 games (6.2 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 475 yards on 37 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon Skill Players have averaged 15.8 yards per reception (867 yards/55 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.6
Oregon WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (595 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Oregon TEs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8
Oregon Skill Players have 80 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Oregon Skill Players have caught 106 of 131 passes (81% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 61%
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue RBs have averaged 10.9 Yards per Carry (306 yards/28 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Purdue’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 30 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue Skill Players have averaged 17.6 yards per reception (176 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.1
Purdue RBs have averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (346 yards / 36 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Purdue’s WRs has gained 586 yards on 50 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Oregon tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 44 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (28 completions/35 attempts) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Oregon opponents has averaged 33.8 Passing Attempts per TD (676 Pass Attempts/20 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 20.5
Oregon has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 22 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (9 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.3
Purdue has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (4,252 yards/291 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,354 yards/90 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.8
Purdue has allowed 28 TDs this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.3
Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 77 of 514 attempts (15%) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
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