- The Alabama is a -21.5 point favorite vs. South Carolina
- The South Carolina vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The South Carolina Gamecocks (3-2) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).
The South Carolina vs. Alabama Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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South Carolina vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Carolina | +21.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | +1000 |
| Alabama | -21.5 -105 | 50.5 -110 | -2000 |
South Carolina vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Carolina vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 85.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- South Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 1% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 7.06% ROI
- South Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Alabama is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.39% ROI
- Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
- Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI
South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
South Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .450
South Carolina is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .486
South Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
South Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina
Alabama is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Alabama is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .737
Alabama is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Alabama is 14-3 (.824) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Alabama
Alabama’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS WRs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.5% of 448 attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. South Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Alabama’s QBs has thrown for 1,370 passing yards in 5 games (274.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 185.6 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has 193 receptions in 17 games (just 11.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has 193 receptions in 17 games (just 11.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,877 yards on 193 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina has gained 880 yards on 71 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (838 yards/37 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama WRs have averaged 57.7 yards per reception (173 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (838 yards/37 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Alabama QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (838 yards/37 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.2
South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina has sacked opposing QBs just once on 58 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.6
South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (6 completions/20 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (6 completions/20 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
South Carolina allowed 20.4 yards per completion (285 yards/14 completions) last week– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 12.0
South Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 92 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama had no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed last week– T-4th-worst in the SEC; Average: 2.0
Alabama has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 9 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Alabama did not record a sack (21 pass attempts) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 9.2
Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on just 6% of pass attempts (10/178) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Alabama allowed first downs on 62% of pass attempts last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 34%
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