- Alabama is a -31.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- South Florida vs. Alabama Total(Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The South Florida Bulls (1-0) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -31.5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Alabama Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +31.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | + |
| Alabama | -31.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | + |
South Florida vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
South Florida vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Alabama and key player performances this season.
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South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- South Florida is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Alabama is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
- Alabama is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Alabama is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
South Florida is 1-12 (.077) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
South Florida is winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .322
South Florida is 6-15 (.261) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .529
South Florida is 5-9 (.217) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Alabama is 14-4 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .410
Alabama is 17-2 (.895) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Alabama is 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .570
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Alabama
Alabama gained 3,086 yards on 208 receptions (14.8 YPR) last season — 7th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 325 attempts last season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s RBs gained 268 yards on 30 receptions (8.9 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense threw for 3,494 passing yards in 13 games (268.8 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game last season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 1.2 passing TDs per game last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida had 265.6 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-best among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 191.5 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s offense threw for 3,494 passing yards in 13 games (268.8 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game last season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 1.2 passing TDs per game last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida had 265.6 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-best among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 191.5 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs averaged 16.9 receptions per game (220/13) in the 2023 season– T-19th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
South Florida QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama Skill Players averaged 21.9 yards per reception (636 yards/29 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (1,275 yards/60 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.0
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (1,275 yards/60 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Alabama WRs averaged 27.4 yards per reception (494 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 16.0
Alabama Skill Players averaged 21.7 yards per reception (826 yards/38 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 13.2
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (16 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
South Florida allowed 61 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2023 season– 3rd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (55 completions/79 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
South Florida defense allowed 61 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– 3rd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (16 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (104 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.0
Alabama has no interceptions (104 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4
Alabama opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (104 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Alabama has no interceptions (104 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 38.5
Alabama opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (104 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
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