- South Florida is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
- South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The South Florida Bulls (3-4) visit FAU Stadium to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-5) on Nov. 1 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | -2.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -145 |
| Florida Atlantic | +2.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +120 |
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- South Florida is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -13.89% ROI
- South Florida is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI
- South Florida is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -60.74% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
South Florida is 8-4 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548
South Florida is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .619
South Florida is 2-4 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .538
South Florida is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Florida Atlantic is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .447
Florida Atlantic is 5-7 (.417) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .624
Florida Atlantic is 4-12 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .538
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-7) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .334
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic’s QBs has thrown for 1,268 passing yards in 7 games (just 181.1 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 291.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 1,268 passing yards in 7 games (just 181.1 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense has allowed 291.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Bryce Archie (USF) has thrown for 533 passing yards in 6 games (just 88.8 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Byrum Brown (USF) has thrown for 276 yards on 57 pass attempts (just 4.8 YPA) on first down this season — worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 6.7 YPA on first down this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 32.3 receptions (97 Rec/3 TDs) this season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
South Florida Skill Players have no touchdowns on 18 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
South Florida TEs have averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (116 yards/21 catches) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
South Florida Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (130 Rec/5 TDs) this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
South Florida has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic’s QBs has thrown for 1,268 passing yards in 7 games (just 181.1 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 291.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 1,268 passing yards in 7 games (just 181.1 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense has allowed 291.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic WRs have just one touchdown on 47 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 10th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Florida Atlantic has 109 receptions in 7 games (just 15.6 per game) this season — 30th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 110 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 110 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (41 completions/57 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
South Florida has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed 90 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-most in FBS
Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 21 passes (33% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 59%
Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to catch just 29 of 65 passes (45% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (14 completions/33 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (8 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%
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