- The Tulane is a -5.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- The South Florida vs. Tulane Total(Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The South Florida Bulls (2-2) visit Benson Field at Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (2-2) on Sep. 28 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The South Florida vs. Tulane Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +5.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 | +165 |
| Tulane | -5.5 -105 | 64.5 -105 | -200 |
South Florida vs Tulane Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Tulane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Tulane Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Tulane vs South Florida and all games with BetMGM
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nay’Quan Wright has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tulane Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Makhi Hughes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane
South Florida is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .633
South Florida is 1-4 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .547
South Florida is 3-6 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .487
South Florida is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548
Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Tulane is 7-1 (.875) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Tulane is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Tulane is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .685
Tulane is 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Tulane
Tulane has gained 824 yards on 57 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mario Williams (TUL) has gained 312 yards on 18 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — 6th-best of Qualified Skill Players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has gained 759 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has gained 759 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2
South Florida Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
South Florida QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
South Florida QBs have rushed for 428 yards in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulane WRs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions this season– 10th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Tulane TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulane has gained 824 yards on 57 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 91 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.7
Tulane RBs have averaged 6.3 Yards per Carry (176 yards/28 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-32nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida defense has allowed 76 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (35 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 53%
South Florida has allowed 4,876 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (35 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
South Florida did not record a sack (34 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.4
Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 7 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 7 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Tulane has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 36 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulane has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
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