Syracuse vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:11 PM
  • The Syracuse is a -4.5 point favorite vs. NC State
  • The Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Syracuse Orange (4-1) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-3) on Oct. 12 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Syracuse is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on NC State vs Syracuse & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Syracuse vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Syracuse-4.5 -11054.5 -110-185
North Carolina State +4.5 -11054.5 -110+150

Syracuse vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Syracuse will win this game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Syracuse and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Syracuse players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Syracuse Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyle McCord has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Umari Hatcher has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kevin Concepcion has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -9.77% ROI
  • Syracuse is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Syracuse is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

Syracuse is 10-3 (.769) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .656

Syracuse is 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .649

Syracuse is 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690

Syracuse is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

North Carolina State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632

North Carolina State is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535

North Carolina State is winless (0-3) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .360

North Carolina State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .440

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 322 yards on 21 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has gained 385 yards on 28 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse has 17 receiving touchdowns this season — T-2nd-most among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns this season — T-4th-most among P5 defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs has 11 receiving touchdowns this season — 3rd-most among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns this season — T-4th-most among P5 defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 31.2 receptions per game (156/5) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 31.2 receptions per game (156/5) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Syracuse Skill Players had 9 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse RBs have been targeted 10 times in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Syracuse RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 322 yards on 21 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 322 yards on 21 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State has gained 1,312 yards on 126 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 76 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 93 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Syracuse has allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 93 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 76 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State has allowed 8 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina State tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 31 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

North Carolina State has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (480 yards / 98 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

North Carolina State tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 31 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina State has allowed 8 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.