Syracuse vs Pitt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Pittsburgh wide receiver Daejon Reynolds (3) tries to make a catch during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Notre Dame Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023, in South Bend, Ind. (AP Photo/Michael Caterina)
(AP Photo/Michael Caterina)
  • The Pitt is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Syracuse
  • The Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Syracuse Orange (5-1) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (6-0) on Oct. 24 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Pitt is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Syracuse+5.5 -11062.5 -105+185
Pittsburgh -5.5 -11062.5 -115-225

Syracuse vs Pittsburgh Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Syracuse and Pitt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Syracuse players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Syracuse Player Prop Bets Today

  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Umari Hatcher has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Oronde Gadsden II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Trebor Pena has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kenny Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Desmond Reid has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.51% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 7.08% ROI
  • Syracuse is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Syracuse is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pitt is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 8.84% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Syracuse is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .416

Syracuse is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335

Syracuse is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522

Syracuse is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Pittsburgh is 2-5 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Pittsburgh is 8-1 (.889) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .756

Pittsburgh is 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718

Pittsburgh was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 576 attempts since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh has gained 1,832 yards on 139 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s offense has thrown for 2,191 passing yards in 6 games (365.2 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 244.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 2,008 yards on 457 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has 35 receptions in 6 games (5.8 per game) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse’s offense has thrown for 2,191 passing yards in 6 games (365.2 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 244.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 31.2 receptions per game (187/6) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 2,008 yards on 457 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has 35 receptions in 6 games (5.8 per game) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s offense has thrown for 2,191 passing yards in 6 games (365.2 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 244.7 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,086 yards / 142 touches) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 576 attempts since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (441 yards / 42 touches) on 2nd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 24 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 96 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 80 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 96 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Syracuse has averaged a sack every 5.3 pass attempts (16 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 15.0

Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 19 of 91 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 19 of 91 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (60 completions/91 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.