Tulane vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – AAC Championship

BetMGM Betting Dec 03, 2024, 3:36 PM

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Army Black Knights head coach Jeff Monken converses with other coaches on his headset about the next play during an NCAA college football game against Air Force in Arlington, Texas, Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Emil Lippe)

(AP Photo/Emil Lippe)

Tulane is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Army
Tulane vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

The Tulane Green Wave (9-3) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (10-1) on Dec. 6 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Tulane vs. Army Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Tulane vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Tulane	-5.5 -105	45.5 -110	-210
Army	+5.5 -115	45.5 -110	+175

Tulane vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 61.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Tulane have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Tulane has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)

Army Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Army has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Army have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Army have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Bets Today

Yulkeith Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Darian Mensah has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Makhi Hughes has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Dontae Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Darian Mensah has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Best Bets Today

Dewayne Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kanye Udoh has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.02% ROI).

Tulane is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 0.93% ROI
Tulane is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Tulane is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).

Army is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 10.17% ROI
Army is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI
Army is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Tulane is 13-1 (.929) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Tulane is 19-2 (.905) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Tulane is undefeated (8-0) when not losing a fumble this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Tulane is 10-3 (.769) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Army is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Army is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .433

Army is 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .524

Army is 8-1 (.889) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Army

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 22.1% of 95 attempts this season — best among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s QBs has thrown for 981 passing yards in 11 games (just 89.2 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Army have just 89.2 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 180.5 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 274 attempts this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane has gained 2,592 yards on 178 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 6th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane WRs have averaged 16.9 yards per reception (2,094 yards/124 catches) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Tulane has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane WRs have averaged 16.1 yards per reception (4,450 yards/276 catches) since the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 5.0 receptions per game (55/11) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.7

Army WRs have averaged 21.1 yards per reception (528 yards/25 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Army Skill Players have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (981 yards/55 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Army Skill Players have been targeted 10.6 times per game (243/23) since the 2023 season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.5

Army Skill Players have been targeted 8.5 times per game (93/11) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.5

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (12 completions/31 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 102 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Tulane has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 15 of 47 carries (32%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 17%

Tulane has allowed just 10.3 yards per completion (5,366 yards/520 completions) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Tulane has allowed 2.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (129 yards / 55 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 55 carries (6.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.3

Army opponents has averaged 5.8 Passing Attempts per TD (70 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Army has allowed just 9.7 yards per completion (2,118 yards/219 completions) this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 11.8

Army has allowed 25.8 carries per game (284 carries / 11 games) this season– lowest in FBS; Average: 35.8

Army has allowed first downs on 42% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%