- The North Texas is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
- The Tulsa vs. North Texas Total(Over/Under): 68.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Tulsa vs. North Texas Over/Under is 68.5 total points.
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Tulsa vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tulsa | +6.5 -110 | 68.5 -110 | +200 |
| North Texas | -6.5 -110 | 68.5 -110 | -250 |
Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tulsa vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tulsa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Tulsa have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.15 Units / 77% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulsa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tulsa Player Prop Bets Today
- Anthony Watkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kamdyn Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Tulsa is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .361
Tulsa is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Tulsa is 6-10 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .632
Tulsa is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .632
North Texas is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .604
North Texas is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373
Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. North Texas
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,273 passing yards in 4 games (318.2 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 1,304 passing yards in 4 games (326.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas have 326.0 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 receiving yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs has 20 receptions in 4 games (5.0 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kamdyn Benjamin (TSA) has 89.8 receiving yards per game this season — 9th-best of Qualified Skill Players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 285.5 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa RBs have averaged 148.9 rushing yards per game (2,382/16) since the 2023 season– 31st-best among FBS Teams; Average: 126.7
Tulsa RBs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa WRs have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (1,120 yards/59 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.8
Tulsa RBs have no touchdowns on 58 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.6
Tulsa WRs have averaged 14.9 yards per reception (2,750 yards/185 catches) since the 2023 season– T-18th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,273 passing yards in 4 games (318.2 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 1,304 passing yards in 4 games (326.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas WRs have been targeted 32.9 times per game (526/16) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8
North Texas WRs have caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs have 12 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0
Tulsa has no interceptions (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.9
Tulsa has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Tulsa has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 10 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulsa has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 11 of 70 attempts (16%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 9%
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has allowed 208.4 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 140.2
North Texas has not forced a fumble (133 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.5
North Texas has not forced a fumble (133 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 41.5
North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 677 carries (112.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3
North Texas did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 32 rushes last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1
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