- The UNLV is a -18.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
- The UNLV vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The UNLV Rebels (4-1) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (1-4) on Oct. 11 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-115).
The UNLV vs. Utah State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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UNLV vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UNLV | -18.5 -115 | 65.5 -110 | -1200 |
| Utah State | +18.5 -105 | 65.5 -110 | +750 |
UNLV vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UNLV vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 84.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+6.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ricky White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Robert Briggs Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jalen Royals has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 67.42% ROI).
- UNLV is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 117.81% ROI
- UNLV is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- UNLV is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -29.85% ROI
- Utah State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Utah State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
UNLV is 9-6 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
UNLV is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .616
UNLV is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .648
UNLV is 12-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
Utah State is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .544
Utah State is 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Utah State is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .486
Utah State is 7-8 (.467) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Utah State
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 1,356 passing yards in 5 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 251.8 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 2,731 yards on 454 carries (6.0 YPC) since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has averaged just 4.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 773 passing yards in 5 games (just 154.6 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Utah State’s defense has allowed 266.6 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (6 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 773 passing yards in 5 games (just 154.6 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Utah State’s defense has allowed 266.6 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV has averaged 13.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV has 309 receptions in 19 games (just 16.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 1,356 passing yards in 5 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 251.8 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 2,731 yards on 454 carries (6.0 YPC) since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has averaged just 4.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State WRs had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Utah State’s WRs have 227.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 186.7 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV defense has allowed 85 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
UNLV has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (10/5) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.74
UNLV has allowed 85 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UNLV has 10 interceptions this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UNLV allowed 40 completions last week– most in FBS
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 9 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of 94% (16 completions/17 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of 94% (16 completions/17 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Utah State has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in FBS
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