- The USC is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
- The USC vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The USC Trojans (3-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-3) on Oct. 5 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
USC is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The USC vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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USC vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| USC | -8.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -300 |
| Minnesota | +8.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +250 |
USC vs Minnesota Prediction:
The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
USC vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 77.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Lake McRee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 44.94% ROI).
- USC is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 16.58% ROI
- USC is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -50% ROI
- USC is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 45.45% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Minnesota is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.92% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
USC: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673
USC is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .618
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .600
USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. USC
Minnesota is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Minnesota is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Minnesota is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Minnesota is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Matchup Notes for USC vs. Minnesota
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has 269 receptions in 18 games (just 14.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
USC’s WRs has 329 receptions in 17 games (19.4 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
USC has 427 receptions in 17 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
USC has 427 receptions in 17 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC Offensive Stats & Trends
USC’s WRs has 329 receptions in 17 games (19.4 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
USC Skill Players have been targeted 32 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Big Ten Teams
USC TEs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
USC has 427 receptions in 17 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
USC has 427 receptions in 17 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Minnesota has 269 receptions in 18 games (just 14.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s QBs has thrown for 2,993 passing yards in 18 games (just 166.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. USC’s defense has allowed 225.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs has 167 receptions in 18 games (just 9.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 93% (13 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
USC has allowed 3.4 touchdowns per interception (34 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5
USC has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1
USC allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 26 attempts (4%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%
USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota has not recorded a sack (44 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Minnesota has not recorded a sack (44 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Minnesota has allowed one passing TD (112 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 24.1
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 89 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Minnesota has allowed one passing TD (112 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 21.8
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