- USC is a -4.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
- USC vs. UCLA Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC
The USC Trojans (5-5) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (4-6) on Nov. 23 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
USC is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The USC vs. UCLA Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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USC vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| USC | -4.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -190 |
| UCLA | +4.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +155 |
USC vs UCLA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and UCLA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
USC vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 64.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- USC have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
- Makai Lemon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ja’Kobi Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kyron Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Moliki Matavao has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kwazi Gilmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI).
- USC is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.39% ROI
- USC is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- USC is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).
- UCLA is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 8.14% ROI
- UCLA is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.53% ROI
- UCLA is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI
USC: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
USC is 4-8 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
USC is 4-8 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527
USC is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .641
USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. USC
UCLA is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .752
UCLA is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
UCLA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
UCLA is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for USC vs. UCLA
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 4.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
USC’s QBs has thrown for 2,880 passing yards in 10 games (288.0 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 2,880 passing yards in 10 games (288.0 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
USC have 288.0 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 245.7 receiving yards per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
USC Offensive Stats & Trends
USC TEs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
USC TEs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
USC TEs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5
USC TEs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7
USC’s QBs has thrown for 2,880 passing yards in 10 games (288.0 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 4.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has 53 receptions in 10 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 34 carries (17 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (498 completions/757 attempts) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (20 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (65 completions/96 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
USC allowed 12 TDs in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (20 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA has allowed 9.2 Yards per Attempt (942 yards/102 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.2
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 128 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UCLA allowed 5 rushing TDs on 396 carries (79.2 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.6
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 128 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.7
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