Utah State vs Washington St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Washington State head coach Jake Dickert stands on the field during a break in play in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Friday, Nov. 17, 2023, in Pullman, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:44 PM
  • Washington St is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
  • Utah State vs. Washington State Total (Over/Under): 70.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The Utah State Aggies (2-6) visit Gesa Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Washington State Cougars (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Utah State vs. Washington State Over/Under is 70.5 total points.

Bet now on Washington St vs Utah State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Utah State vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+20.5 -11070.5 -110+800
Washington State -20.5 -11070.5 -110-1400

Utah State vs Washington State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Washington St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Washington State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Washington St vs Utah State and all games with BetMGM


  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • John Mateer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Josh Meredith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Wayshawn Parker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • John Mateer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Kris Hutson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Utah State is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -73.6% ROI
  • Utah State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Utah State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • Washington State is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 21.88% ROI
  • Washington State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Washington State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Utah State is 5-12 (.294) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 38th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Utah State is 6-11 (.353) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .456

Utah State is 5-10 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Utah State is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .354

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Washington State is undefeated (11-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682

Washington State is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: .609

Washington State is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530

Washington State is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Washington State

Washington State’s TEs has 13 receptions in 8 games (just 1.6 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 398 receptions in 20 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s RBs has rushed for 1,507 yards on 348 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC since the 2023 season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,407 passing yards in 8 games (300.9 YPG) this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah State has 478 receptions in 21 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 5,673 passing yards in 21 games (270.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense has allowed 251.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,407 passing yards in 8 games (300.9 YPG) this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah State has 478 receptions in 21 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 5,673 passing yards in 21 games (270.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense has allowed 251.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has 364 receptions in 21 games (17.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 2,371 passing yards in 8 games (296.4 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State Punters have punted 0.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

Washington State’s TEs has 13 receptions in 8 games (just 1.6 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players have averaged 18.8 yards per reception (525 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Washington State’s WRs has 398 receptions in 20 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s RBs has rushed for 1,507 yards on 348 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC since the 2023 season — T-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed 13 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Utah State has no interceptions (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.2

Utah State has allowed 206.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 142.2

Utah State has allowed 13 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 15 of their 242 carries (6%) this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 39.0 passes per game this season– 2nd-highest in FBS; Average: 30.7

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 39.0 passes per game this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.0

Opponents have averaged 25.0 completions per game (200 / 8) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7

Washington State has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (2,162 yards/200 completions) this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.