- The Clemson is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Virginia
- The Virginia vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Virginia Cavaliers (4-2) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Clemson Tigers (5-1) on Oct. 19 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. Clemson Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | +21.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | +1000 |
| Clemson | -21.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -2000 |
Virginia vs Clemson Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Virginia vs Clemson Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 86.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+11.45 Units / 191% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+9.25 Units / 84% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Clemson Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Clemson has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Clemson have covered the Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Clemson have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Clemson Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jake Briningstool has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Cade Klubnik has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cade Klubnik has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI).
- Virginia is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 7.23% ROI
- Virginia is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Virginia is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Clemson is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).
- Clemson is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 6.35% ROI
- Clemson is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
- Clemson is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson
Virginia is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .539
Virginia is 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .531
Virginia is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Virginia is 5-11 (.312) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
Clemson is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .451
Clemson is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504
Clemson is 12-1 (.923) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .757
Clemson is 13-1 (.929) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .730
Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. Clemson
Clemson’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 6 games (281.5 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Clemson’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among ACC WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Clemson’s WRs have 209.8 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 260.5 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Virginia’s WRs has gained 1,014 yards on 87 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Virginia’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Virginia’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia’s WRs has gained 1,014 yards on 87 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.5 receptions (42 Rec/12 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 8.0 receptions (16 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Virginia’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Virginia’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends
Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (599 yards/67 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Clemson’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 6 games (281.5 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (599 yards/67 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Clemson’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among ACC WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Clemson WRs have averaged 25.6 yards per reception (128 yards/5 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4
Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.3
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
Virginia has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Virginia has no interceptions (60 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.1
Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (20 completions/51 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 56%
Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Clemson has allowed first downs on 24% of pass attempts since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 32%
Clemson has allowed 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (340 yards / 41 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
Clemson has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Clemson has allowed first downs on 24% of pass attempts since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%
Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
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