Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Old Dominion's Grant Wilson (13) runs the ball against Liberty during the second half an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Lynchburg, Va. (AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
(AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
  • Virginia Tech is a -14 point favorite vs. Old Dominion
  • Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion Total(Over/Under): 50 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Virginia Tech Hokies (1-1) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on the Old Dominion Monarchs (0-2) on Sep. 14 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Virginia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).

The Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 50 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech-14 -11050 -110-650
Old Dominion +14 -11050 -110+450

Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 84.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and Old Dominion, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 77.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.55 Units / 48% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyron Drones has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaylin Lane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyron Drones has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Da’Quan Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Old Dominion players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Old Dominion Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Grant Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Grant Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Grant Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Isiah Paige has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kelby Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -20.56% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Virginia Tech is winless (0-7) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Virginia Tech is 2-8 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .496

Virginia Tech is winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .292

Virginia Tech is 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .585

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Old Dominion is winless (0-12) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393

Old Dominion is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330

Old Dominion is 1-7 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .327

Old Dominion is 5-4 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion’s RBs has rushed for 184 yards on 52 carries (just 3.5 YPC) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Virginia Tech’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC to RBs this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has averaged just 7.4 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Old Dominion has averaged just 7.4 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

No notes available for this game

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 53.5 receptions (107 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.3

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 53.5 receptions (107 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.3

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Virginia Tech QBs have carried the ball 14 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech TEs have been targeted 6.0 times per game (6/1) in the 2nd half this season– 2nd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.7

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (23/120) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Old Dominion TEs have no touchdowns on 12 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.1

Old Dominion RBs have been targeted 7 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion QBs have fumbled 4 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion QBs have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (43/393) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech has no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.7

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (20/153) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Virginia Tech has intercepted 11 of 729 attempts (66.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 37.3

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 102 of 532 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has not allowed any touchdowns on 35 completions this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2

Old Dominion has allowed no passing TDs (60 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.4

Old Dominion has allowed 14 rushing TDs on 116 carries (8.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Old Dominion has allowed 28 rushing TDs on 214 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Old Dominion has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (4/2) this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.67


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.