- The W Michigan is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
- The Western Michigan vs. Buffalo Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Western Michigan Broncos (3-3) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (4-2) on Oct. 19 in Buffalo, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Western Michigan vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Michigan | -1.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -120 |
| Buffalo | +1.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | +100 |
Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Buffalo U, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Michigan vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Buffalo U vs W Michigan and all games with BetMGM
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.64% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -9.9% ROI
- Western Michigan is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Buffalo is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 108.93% ROI
- Buffalo is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Western Michigan is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .367
Western Michigan is 4-11 (.267) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .428
Western Michigan is 4-11 (.267) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Western Michigan is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Buffalo is 7-10 (.412) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565
Buffalo is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .428
Buffalo is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Buffalo is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Buffalo
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 792 passing yards in 6 games (just 132.0 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 272.8 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan RBs were targeted 4 times on 3rd down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Western Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 51 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
Western Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.4 receptions (17 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (30 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 15.5 receptions per game (93/6) this season– T-28th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 792 passing yards in 6 games (just 132.0 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 272.8 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 11.8 receptions per game (71/6) this season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Buffalo WRs have averaged just 8.7 receptions per game (52/6) this season– 18th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Buffalo RBs have averaged 4.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,335 yards / 526 touches) since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Buffalo TEs have averaged just 0.8 receptions per game (5/6) this season– T-4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.1
Western Michigan allowed no passing TDs (38 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7
Western Michigan did not allow any touchdowns on 26 completions last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Western Michigan allowed 259 Passing Yards in the 1st half last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.4
Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 21 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Buffalo has allowed just 9.8 yards per completion (1,410 yards/144 completions) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
Buffalo had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.1
Buffalo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (11 completions/27 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: 53%
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