- West Virginia is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Pitt
- West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Total(Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The West Virginia Mountaineers (1-1) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| West Virginia | -2.5 -120 | 60.5 -110 | -145 |
| Pittsburgh | +2.5 +100 | 60.5 -110 | +120 |
West Virginia vs Pittsburgh Prediction:
The winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Pitt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
West Virginia vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Pittsburgh Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rodney Hammond Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Daejon Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gavin Bartholomew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- West Virginia is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- West Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- West Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pitt is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 9.9% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh
West Virginia is 6-2 (.600) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478
West Virginia is 5-3 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .497
West Virginia is 6-3 (.545) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
West Virginia is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .561
Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Pittsburgh is 1-5 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Pittsburgh is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
Pittsburgh is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .334
Pittsburgh is 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420
Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh have 334.0 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia has just 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.
West Virginia’s RBs has rushed for 314 yards on 47 carries (6.7 YPC) this season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense have allowed just 2.4 YPC this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia’s RBs has rushed for 314 yards on 47 carries (6.7 YPC) this season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense have allowed just 2.4 YPC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia Skill Players have caught just 1 of 6 passes (17% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 67%
West Virginia Skill Players have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (22 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
West Virginia WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (270 yards/13 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
West Virginia QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
West Virginia QBs have fumbled 4 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 12.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (220 yards / 17 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 11.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (261 yards / 23 touches) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 671 passing yards in 2 games (335.5 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 270.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has allowed 18.0 yards per completion (541 yards/30 completions) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5
West Virginia has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.6
West Virginia has no interceptions (57 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 36.4
West Virginia has allowed 18.0 yards per completion (541 yards/30 completions) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.7
West Virginia has forced 4 fumbles on 516 carries (129.0 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3
Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 64 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 64 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh has allowed 5 TD passes this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (82/793) since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
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