- The Astros are -210 favorites vs the Angels
- Astros vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Angels TV Channel: SCHN | BSW
The Houston Astros (-210) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+170) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Astros are 78-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 76-70 ATS.
Astros vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 8-9, 4.31 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Samuel Aldegheri 1-1, 2.46 ERA
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -110 | -210 |
| Angels | +1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -110 | +170 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+41.40 Units / 188% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 43 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+23.10 Units / 136% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+15.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 65% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 129 games (+16.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games at home (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 73-73 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 1.75% ROI).
- 78-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -5.62% ROI
- 60-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.4 Units / -18.44% ROI
- 82-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 9.56% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 76-70 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 60-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 69-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -4.78% ROI
- 70-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -3.38% ROI
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Samuel Aldegheri (LAA) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (138/295) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
20 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 31% (152/494) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
68% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Samuel Aldegheri had a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) in his last start — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Samuel Aldegheri has walked 3 of 24 batters (12%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Samuel Aldegheri has a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Samuel Aldegheri has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (12/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 10th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are just 10-22 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-51 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Astros are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Angels are just 115-12 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Angels are just 26-118 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,679/11,778 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Angels have scored first in just 26% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,352 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 42% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 508 of 5,454 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 278 of 2,726 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 400 of 4,166 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels pitchers have walked 128 of 1,292 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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