- Astros / Nationals TV Channel: SCHN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-150) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Saturday, February 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:05pm EST in West Palm Beach, FL.
Last season, the Astros were 96-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals were 85-77 ATS.
Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Astros | -150 |
| Nationals | +125 |
Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Astros went 87-86 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.66% ROI).
- 96-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -6% ROI
- 91-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 76-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -23 Units / -12.21% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Nationals went 85-77 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -0.92% ROI).
- 71-91 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.55 Units / 11.15% ROI
- 77-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 77-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -3.92% ROI
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are 15-11 (.577) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are 90-23 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 79-47 (.627) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 163-11 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 21-36 (.368) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 39-64 (.379) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 63-43 (.594) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Nationals are just 37-72 (.339) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros are 21-5 (.808) against the run line (28.4% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Astros hitters slugged .460 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals batted just .293 in hitter’s counts in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Astros won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents batted .273 against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Nationals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Lower Leg, Out
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, Out
- Joey Meneses (Washington Nationals): Knee, Out
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dominic Smith (Washington Nationals): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Back, Out
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, Out
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
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