- The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Astros vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Orioles TV Channel: ESPN
The Houston Astros (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Astros are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 0-0 ATS.
Astros vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 6-9, 4.38 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 6-9, 4.26 ERA
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -105 | -110 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -115 | -110 |
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+50.90 Units / 221% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+12.80 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 34 games (+27.65 Units / 81% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+20.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+15.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+18.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+8.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 121 games (+21.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 115 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .458 (33-for-72) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — third Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 31% (134/431) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 31% (73 SO in 234 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 86th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (22/141) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (49/281) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has walked 12 of 93 batters (13%) this month (4 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (5/63) against Dean Kremer this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 136-90 (.602) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Astros are 78-54 (.591) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 120-35 (.774) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 59-46 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 200-15 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Orioles are 35-78 (.310) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Orioles are 16-9 (.640) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 578 strikeouts in 3,151 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,416/17,182 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,575/11,128 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,581 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Orioles hitters are slugging .297 with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Orioles hitters are slugging .449 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Orioles hitters are slugging .447 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (1985.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Astros pitchers have walked 457 of 4,819 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 21 of 193 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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