- The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: ESPN
The Houston Astros (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 2-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-3 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 1-0, 4.50 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | O 10 -105 | -105 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 10 -115 | -115 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.35 Units / 139% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-7 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -48.33% ROI).
- 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -58.78% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -46.77% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 39.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 17.98% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 45.51% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -3.95% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garcia | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alvarez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Semien | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Altuve | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carter | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blanco | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Dunning | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .069 (29 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 27 AB’s against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-21) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 27 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .200 (65-for-325) against Dane Dunning with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.
36% of Dane Dunning’s strikeouts were looking in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (18/41) against Dane Dunning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dane Dunning had an average fastball velocity of just 90.9 MPH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — fourth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 102-62 (.622) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 61-41 (.598) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 139-20 (.874) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are 35-14 (.714) after a home win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-141 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 81-51 (.614) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OPS of just .468 (71 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Astros hitters are slugging just .242 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Astros hitters have just 665 strikeouts in 3,750 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .852 (3,311 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 9.56 (16.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 41 of 349 batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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