Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
  • The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Athletics / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Athletics are 29-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 37-44 ATS.

Athletics vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-7, 5.06 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 2-6, 5.78 ERA

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -155O 9 -110+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +125U 9 -110-155

Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 40-43 against the Run Line (-12.85 Units / -12.15% ROI).

  • 29-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -15.09% ROI
  • 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -13.93% ROI
  • 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 3.98% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 37-44 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -12.3% ROI).

  • 39-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -6.86% ROI
  • 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
  • 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -4.88% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Blaze Alexander (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Diamondbacks vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Diamondbacks vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Slade Cecconi (ARI) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
JP Sears (OAK) 3.5 -110 3.5 -120

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 15% (14 SO in 93 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has struck out just 14% (39/283) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 31% (56 SO in 179 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 10% (10 SO in 104 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of 1.161 (95 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .691 — 0 Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (32 Total Bases / 40 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 0 Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .788 (26 Total Bases / 33 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has allowed an OBP of .411 (95 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Athletics are just 8-24 (.250) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Athletics are just 134-223 (.375) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Athletics are just 48-116 (.293) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Athletics are just 139-268 (.342) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 7-16 (.304) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Diamondbacks are just 149-24 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Diamondbacks are 12-4 (.750) after a home loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Athletics are batting just .204 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,321 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .505 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 525 strikeouts in 2,622 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.64 (1031.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (24 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.