- The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | ESPN+ | NSCA | MLBN
The Oakland Athletics (+185) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Athletics are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-20 ATS.
Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-2, 2.64 ERA
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 | +185 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -115 | -225 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.70 Units / 210% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 124 games (+11.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 22-18 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.96% ROI).
- 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 7.36% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -4.25% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -5.17% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-20 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 11-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -41.79% ROI
- 26-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 32.11% ROI
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown (ะะะ) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (7-for-56) against Bryce Miller when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .217 — 94th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .190 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 97th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a BABIP of .098 vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 36-77 (.319) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 19-46 (.292) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 155-6 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 91-15 (.858) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Mariners are 92-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Mariners are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 316 strikeouts in 1,083 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters have 410 strikeouts in 1,431 PA’s (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have 926 strikeouts in 3,750 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.26 (1774.2 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 97 of 1,390 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (925.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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