Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 11

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Seattle Mariners designated hitter Mitch Haniger, left, follows through on a home run against the Cleveland Guardians during the first inning of a spring training baseball game Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024, in Peoria, Ariz. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 11, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | ESPN+ | NSCA | MLBN

The Oakland Athletics (+185) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Athletics are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-20 ATS.

Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-2, 2.64 ERA

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -115O 7.5 -105+185
Mariners -1.5 -105U 7.5 -115-225

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.70 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 124 games (+11.28 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 22-18 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.96% ROI).

  • 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -4.25% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -5.17% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-20 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -6.79% ROI).

  • 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.54% ROI
  • 11-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -41.79% ROI
  • 26-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 32.11% ROI

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Seth Brown (ะžะะš) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Tyler Nevin (OAK) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Estes (OAK) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Bryce Miller (SEA) 6.5 +100 6.5 -130

No Matchup notes for this Game

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .125 (7-for-56) against Bryce Miller when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .217 — 94th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .190 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 97th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a BABIP of .098 vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 36-77 (.319) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Athletics are just 19-46 (.292) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 155-6 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Mariners are 91-15 (.858) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Mariners are 92-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Mariners are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

team hitters – away

Mariners hitters have 316 strikeouts in 1,083 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters have 410 strikeouts in 1,431 PA’s (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners hitters have 926 strikeouts in 3,750 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.26 (1774.2 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 97 of 1,390 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (925.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.