- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Yankees starting pitcher: Michael King
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+100) on Wednesday, September 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 84-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 73-78 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -120 | -120 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 +100 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Michael King | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 126 games (+17.94 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+14.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.73 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 away games (+3.26 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+4.83 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games at home (+3.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 69-82 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -7.86% ROI).
- 84-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 65-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 80-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 4.96% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 73-78 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- 76-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 68-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 78-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 1.95% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of 42% (245/578) against Kevin Gausman in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (140/507) versus Kevin Gausman in 2022 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Kevin Gausman threw his fastball for a strike 78% (1,099/1,401) of the time in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .204 (85-for-416) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — sixth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 24th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Michael King has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.2 innings he’s appeared — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 41.1.
Michael King threw his curveball 39% of the time (203/525) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% (29/99) against Michael King on inside fastballs in 2022 — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 94th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 17-12 (.586) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 154-36 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 11-6 (.647) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Blue Jays are 37-22 (.627) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 18-15 (.545) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees are 107-28 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are 17-12 (.586) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays have hit 2,148 balls in play with an exit velocity over 100 MPH since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
The Blue Jays batted .264 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Blue Jays have 362 barreled balls since last season — 4th most in MLB.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 314 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 1st hardest ball in play hit (114.9 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 131 times since last season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 855 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 2,838 times since last season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.6 MPH (3,661 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Side, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Misiewicz (Yankees): Head, D7
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D60
- Everson Pereira (Yankees): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jasson Domínguez (Yankees): Elbow, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Trap Muscle Cramp, Day-to-Day
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, D10
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