Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Braves (69-46) are -125 favorites vs the Marlins (50-64)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder (1-3), 5.48 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (2-6), 4.02 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 69-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-63 ATS.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +135O 7.5 +100-125
Marlins +1.5 -160U 7.5 -120+105

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 72 games (+18.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 59 of his last 103 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 69 of his last 103 games (+14.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 101 games (+13.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games at home (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
JJ Bleday 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Joey Wendle 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jon Berti 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
JJ Bleday 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Joey Wendle 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Jon Berti 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
JJ Bleday 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Joey Wendle 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jon Berti 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braxton Garrett 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
Bryce Elder 3.5 -120 3.5 -115
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.22 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+17.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 59-56 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.04% ROI).

  • 69-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.33% ROI
  • 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -10.92% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-63 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -14.21% ROI).

  • 50-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -13.69% ROI
  • 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -10.85% ROI
  • 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 2.8% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (146/199) of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett allowed an OPS of 1.190 (21 PA’s) — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .679 — second Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has allowed an OPS of .716 (29 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .500 — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (190/521) against Braxton Garrett this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 30-3 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Braves are 37-22 (.627) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Braves are 48-6 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are 30-4 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Marlins are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Marlins are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Marlins are just 20-60 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Braves hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Braves hitters are slugging .529 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.

Braves hitters are slugging .630 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,571 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Marlins hitters have 712 strikeouts in 2,571 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .633 (2,571 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Marlins hitters have 246 strikeouts in 875 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Braves pitchers this month (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D60
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Max Fried (Braves): Head, D7
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. (Braves): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): COVID, D10
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Leg, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.