- The Braves (69-46) are -125 favorites vs the Marlins (50-64)
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder (1-3), 5.48 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (2-6), 4.02 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 69-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-63 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 +100 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -120 | +105 |
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 72 games (+18.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 59 of his last 103 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 69 of his last 103 games (+14.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 101 games (+13.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games at home (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joey Wendle | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Bryce Elder | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.22 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+17.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 59-56 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 69-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.44% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -10.92% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-63 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -14.21% ROI).
- 50-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -13.69% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 2.8% ROI
Bryce Elder: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (146/199) of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett allowed an OPS of 1.190 (21 PA’s) — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .679 — second Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has allowed an OPS of .716 (29 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .500 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (190/521) against Braxton Garrett this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 30-3 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Braves are 37-22 (.627) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Braves are 48-6 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are 30-4 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Marlins are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Marlins are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Marlins are just 20-60 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Braves hitters are slugging .529 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Braves hitters are slugging .630 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,571 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have 712 strikeouts in 2,571 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .633 (2,571 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Marlins hitters have 246 strikeouts in 875 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Braves pitchers this month (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D60
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Max Fried (Braves): Head, D7
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (Braves): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): COVID, D10
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Leg, Day-to-Day
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.